Days until the 2017 election: 140
Days until the 2018 election: 504
QUOTE OF THE DAY: “It’s all going to come down to turnout.” – Democrat Jon Ossoff.
LIVE FROM MARIETTA – “Georgia special election comes to a messy end,” by POLITICO’s Gabriel Debenedetti: “In the final hours before voters go to the polls in Georgia’s special election Tuesday, national attention focused on a polarizing ad that almost no one in this Atlanta-area district saw – a cable television spot that ties Democrat Jon Ossoff to the ‘violent left’ in the wake of last week’s shooting of GOP House Majority Whip Steve Scalise. It’s a fitting conclusion to a race that’s been nationalized from the start. … For Handel, the final day meant a three-stop rumble through friendly territory, her last-minute play to jack up turnout in GOP strongholds. The campaign supporters who surrounded her wore stickers reminding, ‘REPUBLICANS who stay home elect DEMOCRATS.’ … Ossoff avoided talk of Trump during his brief remarks Monday, instead turning his focus to former Missouri Secretary of State Jason Kander, who campaigned with him Monday. Kander, who narrowly lost a Senate race in November, was one of the few national party figures whom Ossoff’s team would use as surrogates given the party’s tenuous brand in the district.” Full story.
– WHAT’S THE DAMAGE? The final spending tally is over $50 million, including $750,000 from national groups in the last five days. What wasn’t money spent on? The same “violent left” ad, which features House Majority Whip Steve Scalise on a stretcher and was backed by just a five-figure buy.
“Georgia special election: 7 things to watch,” by Elena Schneider: “How high will turnout go? … [T]here’s a big question outstanding for Handel: Did the push to get Republicans to vote early just accelerate GOP voting instead of adding to it? Handel will almost certainly do better in the early vote than Republicans did against Ossoff in April, but the Democrat could still win the election anyway. … Ossoff’s moderate message … The national stakes … Will last week’s congressional shooting affect the vote? … Recruitments and retirements … Special elections are still special.” Full story.
SOUTH CAROLINA – “Norman favored in SC-05 special,” by Kevin Robillard: “The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee has sent just under $300,000 to the district, and some big Democrats looking at 2020 presidential bids have helped out Parnell. Sens. Cory Booker and Kamala Harris have both donated campaign cash, former Maryland Gov. Martin O’Malley and Ohio Rep. Tim Ryan have both campaigned with him and former Vice President Joe Biden recorded a robocall for him. … Jamie Harrison, the former chair of the Democratic party in the state … said black voters will need to make up about 35 percent of a small electorate to pull off an upset. Republicans view that as a pipe dream. ‘Republican strategists are more worried about summer vacations than anything else,’ said Matt Moore, a former chair of the state GOP.” Full story.
The script of Biden’s robocall for Parnell is very Biden-y: “There’s a special election for Congress coming up on Tuesday, June the 20th, and I’ve got to tell you, Archie Parnell is the real deal. He was born and raised in Sumter, and he’s never forgotten where he came from. And Archie will fight – he’ll fight to save health care, protect Social Security and make the tax code simpler and fairer for ordinary people. The choice could not be clearer. Make sure you get out and vote – and vote for Archie Parnell – on June 20.”
DSCC runs takeover ads vs. Heller, Flake, Cruz, Scott: The spots, part of a six-figure digital buy, are some of Google’s new takeover ads. They link to the DSCC’s ad, “The Price” which aims to show the cost of the GOP health care plan. The ads are targeted at Heller, Arizona Sen. Jeff Flake, Texas Sen. Ted Cruz and Florida Gov. Rick Scott. The DSCC is the first campaign group to use the ad format, which is designed to reach mobile viewers and cord cutters.